Weekend 13th/14th May - Picks, Boosts & Free Bets

Tips From Our Experts, Psychology & Advice

This week’s newsletter I as content packed as last week as we delve into a wealth of games this weekend. We cover the football action across Europe with seven matches from nine different bettors.

New to the team this week is @JaysBettingClub. Most of you will know Jay. He’s been on twitter a long time running profitable groups on the card and player shots market.

If you enjoy this edition, consider giving the tipsters and our Twitter a follow :)

Value Price Boosts 🔥

  • Leeds v Newcastle: Isak & Wilson 1+ shot on target each @ 3.0 Skybet

  • Isak To Have A Shot On Target @ 2.0 William Hill

  • Joelinton, Alexander Isak & Patrick Bamford to have 1+ shots on target each @ 5.0 Paddy Power

  • Nick Pope to make 2 or more saves (vs Leeds) @ 2.0 Betfair

  • Bet365 are offering a 25% odds boost on bet builders today for some games.

Match Preview: Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest (Saturday, 15th April 2023, 15:00)

Our Expert: @punters_corner_

11th placed Chelsea play host to relegation threatened Nottingham Forest in what could be a season defining match for Forest. Playing away to Chelsea has never been an easy fixture but there isn’t a much better time to play them than now.

Yates has had limited game time recently due to a couple of injuries but looks set for a run in the team now he is back. He averages 1.5 shots per 90 and is a threat from set pieces as well as not being afraid to bomb forward from midfield. He has hit at least 1 shot in 12/16 matches. Chelsea have looked poor defensively under Frank Lampard and I don’t see that changing here.

👉 Best Bet : Ryan Yates 1+ Shot @ 2.00 (Bet365)

🔸Punters corner share all of his picks in his private telegram which is +216 units up this season

Match Preview: Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest (Saturday, 15th April 2023, 15:00)

Our Expert: @mgsbets

Chelsea host Nottingham Forest in today's fixture. Chelsea come into this game know that they are officially safe from relegation. After an abysmal run of 6 losses for Lampard's men, they have managed to get the 1st set of points since his appointment with a 3-1 win over Bournemouth. Chelsea will hope for a strong finish the season in a bid to secure a top half finish.

Nottingham Forest are still in a relegation scrap sitting 3 points in safety with 3 games remaining. There is a tight battle to escape so every point will be vital as the season ends. After an 11 game winless streak, Forest have gathered some for as they have managed victories against Brighton and Southampton in their last 3 games. Their away form is a concern though as they have only managed 1 win in 17 Away games, losing 13 of these.

I think there is good value in a Madueke shot on target here. Chelsea signed Madueke in January from PSV and Premier League opportunities have been hard to come by but it seems he is being given a run in the side as he has started the last 2 games.

Madueke has started 4 games this season and in has hit at least 1 shot on target in each match, and hit 2 in his last match against Bournemouth.

Forest regularly concede quite a few shots on target a game. Throughout the season they have faced 5 shots on target on average a game. When they play away this increases to 5.94.

👉 Best Bet: Noni Madueke over 0.5 shots on target @1.97 (Unibet)

Mgsbets has a DubClub where he shares his daily pick lists and bets. Hit over 130 units of profit this season! Check out the link below!

Match Preview: Cercle Brugge vs AA Gent (Saturday, 13th May 2023, 18:15)

Our Expert: @Belgiumbets

Both AA Gent as Cercle Brugge picked up 3 points last weekend so the gap between the two remains 5 points. Cercle Brugge in meantime has climbed the table from spot 4 to spot 2. Cercle Brugge coach Muslic already declared multiple times they do want to win the Europe Play offs. They will have to make up 6 points as they need to overcome Gent (in case of equal points Gent will be number one).

Now they will face their direct competitor AA Gent twice in a row. So in order to achieve their goal they will have to beat AA Gent. A draw won’t take them anywhere so Cercle Brugge will have to attack just as they did at Westerlo where we got a crazy game that ended in 3-5 and could even have seen a way higher scoreline. Also against Standard Cercle Brugge did deserve the three points but were deprived from a clear penalty by both referee as VAR.

Cercle Brugge in fine form and scoring rather easily lately but due to their energetic style and the risks that they are taking they are also often conceding.

AA Gent can sit back here and try to hit Cercle Brugge on the counter attack just as they did at Standard. Standard probably deserved more but Gent’s gameplan was working perfectly for them as every counter was really dangerous and they did convert some of their chances into goals rather easily. They even scored a third goal in Liège but it was disallowed because the referee ‘accidentally’ had blown his whistle (not kidding) so he had to disallow the goal. Gift Orban also struck the bar with an attempt from 50 meters directly from the kick off. Both Orban as Cuypers are so dangerous and on fire lately. They are having the abilities to score a goal or two at Cercle Brugge as well.

Gent’s defense however has proven to be vulnerable as well and Cercle striker Ueda’s form is also red hot lately.

Cercle really need to attack here and both are having a lot of firepower against two conceding defenses. I expect an open and goal crazy game here just as we saw twice earlier this season when both did meet each other (3-2 & 3-4).

👉 Best Bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.80 - Unibet

Match Preview: Dortmund vs Monchengladbach (Saturday, 13th April 2023, 15:30)

Our Expert: @TorresBetsHA

When hosting, Dortmund are one of the top sides of the league scoring 48 goals in 15 matches which leads to an average of 3,2 goals scored per game at home. On the other side, Gladbach is one of the worst team away, winning only 9 little points and conceding 2 goals per game (30 goals conceded in 15 games). We can definitely see that Dortmund is playing well home as if we look at their 10 last matches, 4 were played at home (4 wins) and 6 away (0 win). Adeyemi is on fire recently and should have an odd around @ 2.5 according to me but there’s one book placing it a little too high for me. Even if it was @ 3.4, @ 3.25 is still value to me

👉 Best Bet: Adeyemi to score @ 3.25 (1u/Bet365)

Match Preview: Leicester vs Liverpool (Monday, 15th May 2023, 20:00)

Our Expert: @Pete_Tscherewik

Liverpool travel to the King Power Stadium on Monday evening to take on a Leicester City side who continue to fight for survival in the Premier League.

The Foxes suffered a 5-3 defeat last time out against Fulham and with only three games left in the season, time isn’t on their side being two points from safety.

Jurgen Klopp’s side on the other hand have hit form at the right time winning six league games on the bounce as they continue their late dash towards an outside shot at a top-four spot.

In those six matches, the Reds have hit 15, 15, (12), 20, 18 and (13) shots. (12 and 13 came against Spurs and Leeds, both games in which Liverpool grabbed an early lead).

Leicester have conceded 17, 23, 13, 16, 12 and 19 shots in their last six games and have only won once in that time.

Liverpool will have a full-strength attack at their disposal for this one and they should have more than enough to see off the hosts here.

👉 Best Bet: Liverpool over 15.5 shots @ 1.83 // bet365

👉 Best Bet: Liverpool over 15.5 shots @ 1.83 // bet365

Match Preview: Arsenal vs Brighton (Sunday, 14th May 2023, 16:30)

Our Expert: @MonsterHunch

A big game at the top end of the premier league. Arsenal needing to put the pressure onto City and Brighton off the back of a strange result in their season, losing 5-1 to Everton.

Both of these sides play some expansive football and I feel this will be end to end with lots of tackles and fouls too.

Andy Madley is certainly not the best referee for overs in the league but has often shown lots first half in the bigger games this season.

👉 Best Bets: First half card each @ 4.0 on bet365

2+ first half cards @ 2.5 on bet365

2+ cards each @ 2.75 on bet365

Match Preview: Bologna v Roma (Sunday, 14th May 2023, 17:00)

Our Expert: @JaysBettingClub

Ibanez shots this year 👇

230211100121122

12/15 1+ shot

Away games only 👇

32101112

1+ shot in 7/8

Ibanez managed 2 shots in the reverse fixture, Roma need to win this game to keep the pressure on European places. Bologna concede on average 5 corners a game at home. Ibanez in great shooting form I think 2.37 for 1 is high here.

👉 Best Bets: Ibanez over 0.5 shots @ 2.37 on bet365

You can learn more about Jay’s private tips over on his website:

Match Preview: Dortmund vs Monchengladbach (Saturday, 13th May 2023, 17:30)

Our Expert: @scottythorn21

Dortmund’s last five Bundesliga matches are averaging 27.4 shots per game. Only three points will do on Saturday as they look to end Bayern’s dominance of the Bundesliga so expect them to show plenty of attacking impetus. Dortmund had 20 shots in their last match against Monchengladbach.

There were 32 shots when these sides met earlier this season. Borussia Monchengladbach have had a poor season and are currently 11th in the league. They have had fewer shots than their opponents in their last five away matches. They have looked fragile at the back in recent weeks. However, their last match against Bochum saw 39 shots with Monchengladbach contributing with 25 of the shots.

👉 Best Bet: Over 26.5 Shots In The Match @ 1.80

Match Preview: Leeds vs Newcastle (Saturday, 13th May 2023, 12:30)

Our Expert: @MaccasValueBets

Leeds are averaging 17.9 team throw ins in their last 10 games ad getting just 10 when they were underdogs to Man City. Newcastle’s opponents are averaging 18.9. I’ve collated a large dataset from where Leeds go off underdogs and in those 20 games they average 18.5 throw ins.

Last time these two teams met was in December 2022 and Leeds only managed 16 throw ins whilst their counterpart got 34.

Bet365’s starting line for Leeds throw in’s is 21.5 which for me is at least a couple lines out of place. So we’ll take a bet there but also take advantage of lower lines at higher odds.

👉 Best Bet: Leeds under throw in ladder. Start at u21.5 @ 1.83 (Biggest stake on that and smaller stakes on the lower lines)

🔸Macca share’s all of his picks in his private telegram which is +800 units up since inception.

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