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World Cup 2022: Crazy odds offered đź‘€
Hi there đź‘‹, we're glad to see you here and hope you enjoy the first episode of The Weekly Wager.
Your experts previewing games this week are: James(Macca), Kjaer & Scott.
Two days remain till the start of the 2022 World Cup in Qatar.
We've got the following content today:
Value Price Boosts
Tip for England v Iran
2 X Outrights
32 countries will compete in the group stage of the 22nd men's FIFA World Cup after qualifying through five separate regions: Asia, Africa, South America, North America/Central America, and Europe. 16 teams will then advance to the knockout rounds.
Group A: Qatar, Ecuador, Senegal, Netherlands
Group B: England, Iran, USA, Wales
Group C: Argentina, Saudi Arabia, Mexico, Poland
Group D: France, Australia, Denmark, Tunisia
Group E: Spain, Costa Rica, Germany, Japan
Group F: Belgium, Canada, Morocco, Croatia
Group G: Brazil, Serbia, Switzerland, Cameroon
Group H: Portugal, Ghana, Uruguay, South Korea
Price Boosts 🔥
England To Win @ 2.0 - View Here
England To Win All Three Group Stage Matches @ 4.0
Jude Bellingham Over 0.5 Shots On Target @ 2.1
(We have to let you know the bookmakers on our website as the email providers don't like mentioning them here.)
Match Preview: England v Iran (Monday, 21 Nov 2022, 13:00)
Our Expert: James (Macca) (@MaccasValueBets)
Although England are by far the favourite, opening games are often tight contests where only a few goals are scored. England have a wide range of choices to come off the bench, so the depth of England's quality should well outweigh that of Iran.
England will view this match as a crucial opportunity for three points since both the USA and Wales may not roll over so easily. Iran are still dangerous however and are the top ranked Asian team in the World Cup, currently ranking 20th, and are led by renowned strategist Carlos Quieroz.
England's style of play has been very negative under Southgate even when coming into matches as favourites. Their higher goal games are only when England are usually odds of 1.10 or below to win. They're 1.36 to win against Iran and whilst we're expecting England to win, it's likely only going to be by one or two. The markets currently got O2.5 goals at odds against and we see that as a fair assessment.
In terms of the card markets, I expect Iran to get the most cards. Having looked at lots of similar game data where England are favourites at home, England see 1.44 cards for vs their opponents who see 1.83 cards. I've done the same for Iran's games where they come into games as big underdogs - This time showing Iran averaging 2.5 cards for and 1.55 cards against. Will Hills are offering 3.9 for England most cards and 1.67 for Iran most cards. For me these are fair prices and are not far off with my model is predicting. However what I can't ignore is England most cards @ 9.0 which I've seen here. It's a longer shot but one well worth taking.
👉 Best Bets:
England to win & Under 4 goals @ 1.77 (Widely available)
England most cards @ 9.0
Outright: Red Cards
Our Expert: Christian Kjaer (@Kjaer_Bet)
The World Cup in 2018 had the lowest number of red cards since 1978. Only four red cards were given. According to David Elleray (International Football Association Board / IFAB's technical director), the low number of cards, were result of the implementation of VAR, which for the first time was used in a major tournament.
Two of the red cards were given after receiving two yellow cards, meaning that VAR couldn't intervene.
Obviously, that means that only two straight reds were given, and I feel like that's a solid indication that the players are being more cautious, knowing that they can't just get away with anything anymore.
👉 Best Bet: Under 9 Red Cards @1.90
Outright: Red Cards
Our Expert: Scott Thornton (@scottythorn21)
The Inter Milan forward was the joint top-scorer for his country throughout qualifying. He and Lionel Messi found the net seven times. Lautaro’s goals all came from open play as he benefited from playing as the spearhead of a creative Argentine side.
Many fancy Argentina to go all the way in Qatar. They were beaten finalists in 2014, but they come into this tournament in fine form. Scaloni’s men are unbeaten in 35 matches coming into the tournament. Martinez didn’t start the final friendly against the UAE. However, he has started in the team’s recent matches where he was deemed fit enough to be in the squad.
Lautaro should only benefit from the creative force that is Lionel Messi. The PSG player has relished a deeper role at club level this season. Messi looks to pick the ball up in deeper areas. Using his close control and excellent passing range to fashion chances for his teammates. The 35-year-old has 14 assists across his matches in the league and Champions League for his club this season. Martinez will no doubt enjoy getting on the end of Messi’s pinpoint passes.
Martinez’s closest competitor for the crown of top scorer from Serie A is likely to be Romelu Lukaku. The Belgian is second favourite in the market. He comes into this tournament out of form and lacking fitness. Roberto Martinez cast doubt over whether Lukaku would be selected days before the squad announcement. Since returning to Inter he has suffered from injury and featured in four league matches.
Martinez to be the top scorer from the Italian top flight looks like a good pick with Sky Bet. Argentina should go deep into the tournament, and seven goals in South American qualifying is no easy feat.
👉 Best Bet: Lautaro Martinez Top Serie A Scorer @ 4.00
🚀 Giveaway:
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— Macca (@MaccasValueBets)
6:52 PM • Nov 16, 2022
Well done Ben for the above. (Ben....02) I've emailed you and will reply to the tweet above when details have been finalised with your shirt size.
That's it from us. We hope you enjoyed the first edition and we'll be back next Friday. There's a possibility of a midweek edition but that's not confirmed yet.
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