Weekend 29th/30thApril - Picks, Boosts & Free Bets

Tips From Our Experts, Psychology & Advice

After covering a couple of sports last weekend, football is back to being this sole focus this week. The season is reaching its climax across Europe and there are key matches to be played all around the continent.

We have some of the bets bets from across England and Italy for you to get stuck into.

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Value Price Boosts 🔥

  • Eze & Bowen to have a shot on target @ 4.0 (SkyBet)

  • Lucas Paqueta To Have 1 Or More Shots On Target @ 2.0 (Betfair)

  • Palace v West Ham: First Half Goal @ 2.0 (William Hill)

  • Bet365 are offering a 25% odds boost on bet builders today for some games.

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Match Preview: Brentford vs Nottingham Forest (Saturday, 29th April 2023, 15:00)

Our Expert: @mgsbets

After a 11 game winless streak, Nottingham Forest got a needed victory against Brighton, which lifts them out of the relegation zone by a single point. Nottingham will be desperate to continue this form as this aim to maintain their Premier League status.

Brentford also ended a 6 game winless streak as they managed victory against Chelsea. They will be hosting the match up today, with them taking confidence in their home form as they having only been defeated twice in 16 home fixtures.

I will be looking at player shots today as I believe there is some good value here. Since breaking back into the team, Awoniyi has not been of having a shot. He has managed 2 shots in each of his last 3 fixtures. Up against Brighton, Manchester United and Liverpool - these are not easy feats and makes me believe he can manage it against anyone.

In their last 10 home games Brentford have faced on average 12.81 shots. I believe this should provide ample opportunity for Awoniyi who has hit 2 shots in games with less opportunities for Nottingham. He accomplished the feat with Nottingham only managing 6 shots against Manchester United, 11 against Liverpool and 12 against Brighton.

👉 Best Bet : Awoniyi 2+ shots @1.88 (Unibet)

Match Preview: Liverpool vs Tottenham (Sunday 30th April 2023, 16:30)

Our Expert: @TipsterJWins

Three wins on the bounce for Liverpool has given Klopp's side an outside chance of securing a top four spot come the end of the season if they continue to pick up the results. They face an out of form Tottenham side Sunday afternoon, who have won just 1 game in their last 6.

I will be avoiding the 1x2 market, and instead opting for goals. The hosts have looked promising going forward in recent weeks but there are still question marks over their defense. Liverpool have kept just one clean sheet in their last 8 games and conceded twice to Nottingham Forest last time out on home soil, something Kane and Co will be keen to exploit. Spurs' run of form has not been down to their attacking output - the LilyWhites have scored at least once in their last 7 games scoring 3+ on 3 occasions and 2+ in 5/7. However , no clean sheet in 7 games whilst conceding 11 in their last 3 games makes me believe we should see goals at Anfield Sunday afternoon.

👉 Best Bet: BTTS and Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.87

Match Preview: Leicester vs Everton (Monday, 1st May 2023, 20:00)

Our Expert: @Pete_Tscherewik

Leicester host Everton at the King Power Stadium on Monday evening in what is the epitome of a six-pointer for both sides.

However, Everton do look to be in deeper trouble than the Foxes having been thumped 4-1 at Goodison Park by Newcastle in midweek. The Toffees’ haven’t won in their last six games and their “new manager bounce” since the arrival of Sean Dyche looks all but gone.

Leicester snatched a huge point against Leeds last time out and saw off Wolves before that but they do have the second-worst home record in the Premier League.

Given the importance of this fixture for both sides, especially Everton; an angle on shots taken by the visitors appeals here.

Everton have struggled for goals of late but have been teeing off shots at a good rate particularly in recent weeks. The Toffees’ have hit 10+ shots in each of their last eight matches, (13, 10, 15, 15, 15, 20, 13, 10).

Leicester are the bookmakers’ favourites to win here and should they hit the front, the likelihood of Everton firing off shots at goal should only increase.

👉 Best Bet: Everton Over 9.5 Shots @ 1.80 // bet365

Match Preview: Reading vs Wigan (Saturday, 29th April 2023, 15:00)

Our Expert: @MonsterHunch

This huge game at the bottom of the championship for Reading up against a Wigan team that will also be desperate for a win to give them a tiny chance of staying up on the last day of the season. Remaining in the Championship is paramount for both of these sides. Wigan are currently bottom and will be relegated with a defeat here. Reading are three points ahead of Wigan and one point behind Huddersfield, who currently occupy the last position of safety.

There were five cards in the reverse fixture with Wigan receiving three and Reading Receiving two. Surely there are cards here given the importance of the match. Bet 365 have generously set the line at 3.5 for this one.

👉 Best Bet: Over 3.5 Cards In The Match @ 1.70 (Bet 365)

Match Preview: Roma vs AC Milan (Saturday, 29th April 2023, 17:00)

Our Expert: @scottythorn21

Roma host AC Milan on Saturday and this match could have huge implications in the race for the Champions League places. Both of these sides are still able to qualify for the Champions League via their exploits in Europe but neither will want to rely on winning those competitions.

Mourinho’s stock has risen during his time at Roma. He is revered in Italy and has managed to move on from his tumultuous time in charge at Tottenham. The veteran manager secured silverware in his first season in charge and they are level on points with Milan coming into this one.

Milan are in the last four of the Champions League for the first time since they won the trophy in 2007. They are the reigning champions of Italy but they have failed to mount a title challenge this season.

This game looks primed for yellow cards. There was 10 cards handed out in this fixture earlier this season. The game at the Olympic Stadium last season also saw 10 cards. A win for either side would see them open a gap on their top four rivals. There has also been at least four first half cards in the last three head-to-heads.

Using the Bet 365 bet builder, we can get odds of 2.15 for both teams to receive two cards in the match and for there to be two cards in the first half overall. This bet has landed with ease the last three times that Roma have faced Milan. The significance of the game in relation to the top four should only fuel the fire.

Daniele Orsato is the referee for this one. He has been a lot more lenient in his recent matches but he should revert to type when officiating this one.

👉 Best Bet: Over 1 Cards In The 1st Half, Over 1 Card For Roma & Over 1 Card For Milan @ 2.15 (Bet 365)

Match Preview: Inter Milan vs Lazio (Sunday, 30th April 2023, 11:30)

Our Expert: @scottythorn21

The upcoming match between Inter and Lazio in the Italian Serie A is highly anticipated, with both teams vying for a spot in the top four. Inter currently sits just outside of the top four, while Lazio is in second place. However, Juventus is hot on Lazio's tail after their points deduction was reversed, making the race for a top-four finish even tighter.

One interesting statistic to note is the average team fouls per game in Serie A, which stands at 12.44. Lazio, on the other hand, has the fewest fouls per game in the league, averaging only 10.32. In their earlier encounter this season, Lazio made only five fouls against Inter, demonstrating their disciplined approach to the game.

Furthermore, Lazio has made eight fouls or fewer in their last five away matches, with an average of only 7.6 fouls per game. These statistics make it seem likely that Lazio will continue their trend of committing few fouls in their upcoming match against Inter.

This presents an opportunity to bet on Lazio committing under 10.5 fouls in the match, with odds of 2.02 on Unibet. Given Lazio's recent form and discipline, this looks to be a wise choice.

👉 Best Bet: Under 10.5 Fouls For Lazio @ 2.02 (Unibet)

🔸Scott shares all of his picks in his private Telegram. You get much more volume than just the bets you see across social media. The props bets focus means around 200 bets per month with a 10% ROI.

Match Preview: Bournemouth vs Leeds (Sunday, 30th April 2023, 14:00)

Our Expert: @MaccasValueBets

Bournemouth v Leeds will be a game of two teams battling at the lower end of the Premier League table.

Bournemouth recently made progress towards securing their Premier League status with a 1-0 win against Southampton. They’ve showed promise with some recent form but technically they’re sill not safe and a win v Leeds will be Gary O'Neil’s top priority.

Leeds, currently in 16th place, are facing a crucial match for their survival chances after a four-game winless streak.

Bournemouth are averaging 2.2 team cards per game at the moment with Leeds very similar averaging 2.1 cards per game.

You can expect both team’s average to increase when playing important games like this. I was interested in both teams over 1.5 cards @ 2.0 but instead, considering the high stakes between these two teams, I’d expect things to heat up in the latter parts of the game as players are tiring.

On Bet365’s bet builder you can get Over 3.5 Cards & both teams to have a second half card @ 2.0

The same bet is just 1.61 with William Hill.

👉 Best Bet: Over 3.5 Cards & both teams to have a second half card @ 2.0 (Bet365)

Macca shares all of his picks in his private Telegram. It’s fully tracked with a public profit and loss link shared to all members. Over the course of 4 years it’s made 770+ units profit and a 15% ROI.

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