Saturday 15th April - Picks, Boosts & Free Bets

This weeks newsletter is jam packed with bets for you to mull over. We have angles from Europe and South America for what we hope is a profitable weekend.

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Value Price Boosts 🔥

• Ollie Watkins At Least 1 Shot On Target @ 2.0 Betfair

• Joao Felix 2+ Shots On Target @ 5.0 // Sky Bet

• Watkins & Isak 1+ Shot On Target Each @ 3.0

• Ollie Watkins & Alexander Isak 1+ Shots On Target & John McGinn 1+ Fouls @ 4.00 // Paddy Power

• Gabriel Martinelli 2+ Shots On Target @ 3.75 // Sky Bet

• Over 1 Goal In All of Saturday’s PL Matches @ 7.00 // William Hill

Free Bets 🔥

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Match Preview: Napoli vs Verona (Saturday, 15th April 2023, 17:00)

Our Expert: @Pete_Tscherewik

Serie A front-runners Napoli maintained their 16-point cushion at the top with a 2-1 win over Lecce last time out in the league, but were left scratching their heads after following that up with a disappointing 1-0 defeat to Milan in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday.

Napoli’s last domestic fixture on home soil was also a crushing 4-0 defeat to Milan so they return to the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona with a point to prove here.

Victor Osimhen’s injury has been a huge loss for the Gli Azzuri and it remains to be seen whether he’ll play a part in this one, though boss Luciano Spalletti confirmed the Nigerian will be available to face Milan next week.

Napoli have won 22 of their last 25 matches in Serie A and have scored at least two goals in 11 of their last 13 league games.

Verona have the worst away record in the division and the hosts should have too much for them here.

👉 Best Bet : Napoli to win and O1 match goals @ 10/11 // bet365

Match Preview: Chelsea vs Brighton (Saturday, 15th April 2023, 15:00)

Our Expert: @MaccasValueBets

As Chelsea continue to struggle amidst their ongoing crisis, things don’t seem to be getting any easier as they face a challenging match against a Brighton side who have lost just one away game since October and are this seasons third highest goalscoring team.

Part of Brighton’s attractive threat is Karol Mitoma. The left winger has started in all of Brighton’s last 15 games, has got a shot on target in 12/15 and scored 7 goals. As mentioned last week, he likes to cut inside and get in the box for a shot. Last week he managed 3 but unfortunately his shot was blocked and didn’t count as on target.

Chelsea’s recent 2-0 loss to Real Madrid in the UEFA Champions League means their hopes for European success this season have all but vanished. To make matters worse, the Blues haven't scored a single goal in their last four matches across all competitions, marking their worst run since 1993. Their games this season have seen the lowest amount of goals in the league (2 goals per game on average) and this is largely due to having a recognisable striker.

Interim manager Frank Lampard is back at Stamford Bridge for now and has hinted that Aubameyang could make his return to the squad. Brighton, on the other hand, head to London following their controversial 2-1 defeat to Tottenham last week, the Seagulls received an apology from PGMOL for the decisions that went against them (If you’ve seen the videos, you’d understand why) One thing to note however is that Roberto De Zerbi will be absent from the sidelines due to a sending-off, Brighton remain determined to stay in the race for a top-six finish and could very well snatch all three points from the struggling Blues. I'd be wary of taking the straight win however due to the nature of Chelsea’s low scoring games and instead opt for the asian handicaps.

👉 Best Bets:
-Brighton +0.25 Asian Handicap @ 1.77 // Betfair Exchange (If it’s a draw, we still get half our stake deemed a winner)
-Brighton 0.0 Asian Handicap @ 2.1 // Betfair Exchange (Higher odds if you prefer that. We get our money back if it ends in a draw)
-Mitoma Over 1.5 Shots @ 1.91 // SkyBet
-Mitoma Over 0.5 Shots On Target @ 1.91 // SkyBet

📣Weekly Wager Readers: Free month membership to Macca’s Private Group X5

UPDATE: All spots have been taken. We’ll try to get a spot or two in next weeks edition.

Macca here, as a thank you for reading the newsletter every week, i’m giving away 5 free one month memberships to my private group where I share most my tips.

Unfortunately It’s a limited group which means I can only offer a certain amount of spots. They are on a first come, first serve basis. Hopefully you can grab a free month😄 (If you miss out, look out for next week, I might be able to do it then too depending on member numbers in the group)

Match Preview: QPR vs Coventry (Saturday, 15th April 2023, 15:00)

Our Expert: @punters_corner_

Coventry continue their late push for a playoff spot with a trip to Loftus Road to play a really out of form QPR. One man who has impressed since his return from injury is Ben Sheaf who has looked really sharp in a box-to-box midfield role.

Sheaf has managed 2+ shots in all of his last 4 starts and scored in 2 of them. He was an absolute menace on Monday managing 6 shots and looked a goal threat throughout. Even money for 2 shots looks solid against relegation threatened QPR

👉 Best Bet: Ben Sheaf 2+ shots @2 // Bet365

Match Preview: Manchester City vs Leicester City (Saturday, 15th April 2023, 17:30))

Our Expert: @TipsterJWins

Opening games as a manager of a new team do not get much harder than this, as Dean Smith takes his Leicester side to the Etihad where the hosts have only dropped 5 points all season. Pep Guardiola’s side have won their last 10 home games in all competitions, understandably short at 1/7.

Backing the hosts to win without reply here gives us a much more attractive price of getting Manchester City on side at 10/11. 7 of their last 10 home wins have seen the away side blank, including the likes of Bayern Munich, Newcastle and Arsenal. The Foxes have lost 8 of their last nine matches and failed to score at home vs Bournemouth last time out, generating just 0.7 expected goals last weekend.

I’m a firm believer in a new manager bounce but this could be one step too far for The Foxes, who should also be without top scorer Harvey Barnes.

👉 Best Bet: Manchester City Win to Nil @ 1.91

Match Preview: Gremio vs Santos (Sunday, 16th April 2023, 22:30)

Our Expert: @TipsterCharlie

The Brazilian top flight gets underway this weekend and I have a bet for you as Gremio face Santos.

Santos are one of the giants of the South American game. The Super team of the 1960s that included Pele earned them a reputation throughout the world but they look set to struggle this season. They are one of the relegation candidates and they look set to have more than their fair share of defensive woes.

Luis Suarez is the main attacking threat for Gremio. The forward has enjoyed a trophy laden career in Europe and has cemented his place as one of the best strikers of this generation. He is back in South America, terrorising opposition defences and I fancy him to get on the scoresheet

The Uruguayan is priced at 2.60 with Betfair to find the net. He has scored 7 goals in his 12 matches for Gremio so far.

👉 Best Bet: Luis Suarez To Score Anytime @2.60 (Betfair)

Match Preview: West Ham vs Arsenal (Sunday, 16th April 2023, 14:00)

Our Expert: @MonsterHunch

A huge game in west London on Sunday brings together a struggling West Ham team desperate for points Vs an arsenal team gunning to bounce back from a tough second half away at Anfield last weekend.

West Ham’s London stadium lacks on the atmosphere front in my opinion but I’m expecting the magnitude of the game to spill over into some big tackles and yellow cards.

👉 Best Bet: 1 Card Each And Over 2.5 Cards @ 1.83 Longer Odds: 2+ cards each in the second half @ 11.0

Match Preview: Blackburn vs Hull (Saturday, 15th April 2023, 19:45)

Our Expert: @scottythorn21

Blackburn’s run of four games without a win has left them on the fringes of dropping out of the playoffs. They have faced Sheffield United and a resurgent Norwich in that time but they need to get back to winning ways on Saturday night.

They face a Hull side that are without a win in their last seven away matches The Tigers are 16^th in the league and they have very little to play for with safety all but guaranteed. The gap between them and Blackburn is also too big to be thinking about a spot in the top six.

Blackburn beat Hull 1-0 earlier in the season and they will have home advantage this time around. Jon Dahl Tomasson’s men have won four of their last five matches at Ewood Park and I expect them to return to winning way safter the defeat against Norwich here.

👉 Best Bet: Blackburn To Win @ 1.90 (Unibet)

Match Preview: West Ham vs Arsenal (Sunday, 16th April 2023, 14:00)

Our Expert: @mgsbets

This is a match up of 2 teams with contrasting fortunes this season. The Hammers will be hosting this London Derby coming off the back of a 1-1 against Gent in their Europa Conference League quarter final. They will not be focusing on avoiding relegation as they sit in safety by 3 points. A good run of results, including victory against Fulham and Southampton, has somewhat eased tensions but the threat of relegation is still real.

Arsenal sit at the top of the table by 6 points with this being their only competition left to fight for. The will need as many points as possible as City sit behind them with a game in hand.

Arsenal know they will need every point possible so they will go for the win. As such, 2 players stand out to me that I believe could be key to a victory. Gabriel Jesus has been been a really good signing for Arsenal this season, and has hit the ground running since coming back from injury managing 3 goals in his last 2 games. He has managed 1.3 shots on target a game this season.

Martinelli has also really come into his own this season grabbing 14 goals in 30 Premier league appearances. He manages on average 1 shot on target a game, has scored twice in his last 3 matches and scored in the reverse fixture between these 2 sides.

Both of these 2 players will be key if Arsenal grab a result.

👉 Best Bet: Martinelli and Jesus over 0.5 shots on target @ 2.00

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