New Years Eve Tips & Value Price Boosts🔥

Hi there 👋,

Last week two out of three previews won: Arsenal game under 35.5 Throw ins ✅ Liverpool Over 2.5 Offsides✅ Southampton 0.0 Asian Card Handicap 🚫

We're glad to see you here and hope you enjoy this week's Weekly Wager. Today we've got two previews for you and the best price boosts!

Price Boosts 🔥

• Rangers v Celtic - At least one first half card @ 2.0 (was 1.10)🤯

• Saka Over 1.5 Shots on target @ 6.0

(We have to let you know the bookmakers on our website as the email providers don't like mentioning them here.)

Match Preview: Brighton v Arsenal (Saturday, 31 Dec 2022, 17:30)

Our Expert: Scott Thornton (@Scottythorn21)

Pascal Gross played in the centre of Brighton’s midfield last week. He racked up 102 passes and pulled the strings as his team ran out 3-1 victors over Southampton. He is set to start in the same position, with MacAllister ruled out yet again.

Arsenal are a far more accomplished team than Southampton but Brighton should still see some of the ball. Roberto De Zerbi has favoured a patient possession based approach. Brighton are averaging 59% possession across their four league home matches under De Zerbi. Chelsea had 59% possession at the Amex but Brighton led from the 5th minute. The Seagulls were also 3-0 up at half time. I expect Brighton to have more of the ball providing they don’t take an early lead against Arsenal.

Over 48.5 passes for the German midfielder looks a good bet here. He is averaging 53 passes per game from central midfield this season. Declan Rice reached 50 passes against Arsenal in their last game. This was despite the fact West Ham had just 33% possession.

👉 Best Bet: Over 48.5 Passes For Pascal Gross @ 1.83

Brighton v Arsenal: Extended

Our Expert: Scott Thornton (@Scottythorn21)

Arsenal’s matches are averaging 34.87 throws per game this season; the 2nd fewest in the league. However, the throw line looks a little low here.

Under De Zerbi, Brighton’s home matches are averaging over 41 throws per game. The last time they met Arsenal, there were 40 throws in the match. There have been 34 throws or more the last 4 times these sides have played at the Amex.

Arsenal’s last 5 matches where they have been similarly priced to win have seen 37.4 throws per game. Arsenal’s away matches this season have seen an average of 36.75 throws per game.

👉 Bet Double: View Here

Match Preview: Everton v Man City (Saturday, 31 Dec 2022, 15:00)

Our Expert: James (Macca) (@Maccasvaluebets)

35 points out of a potential 45 is a fantastic start, but losing to Brentford before the break has been costly for City. But over the course of a 38-game season, City is still the team that most people expect to lift the trophy.

This is primarily because of the presence of Erling Braut Haaland up front, who scored his 20th Premier League goal of the season on Wednesday in their 3-1 victory over Leeds United, the quickest time for anybody to do so in a season.

City showed against Leeds they were more than capable of going a few ahead. Being 1-0 at half time didn't paint an accurate picture either as it could have been at least 3-0 by that point with the flurry of chances they were creating. What was evident though was when City did go a few ahead they stopped pushing forwards as much and in doing so, they didn't get as many corners in the second half as expected.

I did some big data analysis and I saw over the past two seasons, City have seen an average of 4.2 corners per second half. However when I went through my models filters and singled out all the games where City were winning at half time, that number drops to 3.45 corners per game. Something the bet builder is not properly assessing.

👉 Man City Win First Half & Man City Under 6 Second Half Corners @ 1.90

Longshot: Ladder - Keep reducing the corners in the second half. Be careful of stakes.

That's it from us. We hope you enjoyed it, good luck on your bets this week and we'll be back next Friday.

As always, feel free to reach out and reply to this email.