Friday Night & Saturday Tips 🔥3-4th March

The first newsletter of the weekend is here as we look to follow up our profitable midweek El Classico preview with some more winners. There are plenty of tips across both days this week so keep your eyes peeled for Sunday's edition as well.

This newsletter also featured a Friday night kick-off.

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Price Boosts 🔥

• Haaland 2+ Shots On Target & De Bruyne 1+ Shots On Target @ 4.00 (SkyBet)

• Iheanacho 2+ Shots On Target @ 4.00 (SkyBet)

• A Goal To Be Scored In The First Half - Man City vs Newcastle @ 2.00 (Willliam Hill)

• Kevin De Bruyne to have 1 or more shots on target @ 2.0 (Betfair - Was 1.4)

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Match Preview: Napoli vs Lazio (Friday, 3rd march 2023, 19:45)

Our Expert: James (@MaccasValueBets)

High flying Napoli host Lazio tonight. Lazio come into this game underdogs against a Napoli side who have won their last 8 league games and defeating teams with ease.

Napoli have greatly benefitted by Victor Osimhen’s performances. The main man has scored in his last 9/10 games with 7 of those consecutively.

Victor Osimhen has had 2 or more shots on target in 8/10 recent games and given the form he’s in, it's a price I'm happy taking especially as Bet365’s odds of 2.37 is higher that the rest of the market's offerings.

Odds of 2.37 implies a 42% win rate and Osimhen has demonstrated he can hit these figures more often than not.

👉Best bet: Osimhen Over 1.5 Shots On Target @ 2.37 (Bet365)

👉Longer odds bet: The higher line of 2.5 Shots on Target is @ 5.5 (This line has been covered in 4/10 of Osimhen's recent games)

Match Preview: Oostende vs Club Brugge (Friday, 3rd March 2023, 19:45)

Our Expert: @BelgiumBets

Club Brugge haven’t been at their best in recent weeks to say the least. They had just one win from their last 15 official matches within 90 minutes but they had a good win now at home against Gent. This should be the perfect game for them to start a winning streak.

Club Brugge might have had their issues lately but they are nothing compared to the situation of KV Oostende. With only 7 games in hand, Oostende will have a mountain to climb if they want to escape relegation. The gap to a safe spot is already 6 points now and recent signs are not too promising for Oostende as they only managed to collect 3 draws from their last 11 matches with a goal balance of 6-26. That number does perfectly reflects their main issue.

There’s nothing wrong with their mentality. They do get their chances but are having troubles converting them into goals while they often leak goals at the back, certainly against quality opposition. Club Brugge, although being in a bad place themselves right now, do possess that individual quality. With for example Ferran Jutgla and Noa Lang they do have some attacking players who recently have proven their worth in the UCL and who will be sold for +20 million euro’s. Such players should have way too much for this shaky and doubting Oostende defence while Club Brugge’s defence should stand the test in seeing off the rather toothless Oostende offense.

The only difficulty for Club Brugge here could be if Oostende would decide to park the bus but that has never been the approach of their coach Thalhammer. Also, their situation in the table is urging them to take risks as they really need a couple of 3-pointers in order to close the gap with Eupen.

In recent history Oostende has been a regular victim for Club Brugge. They have managed to win 11 games in a row against them now. They have scored at least 2 goals in all 11 of them and did find 3+ goals in 7 of those games. I think Club Brugge will win this one with a couple of goals.

👉 Best Bet: Club Brugge -0.75 Handicap @ 1.88 (Bet 365)

Match Preview: Mainz vs Hoffenheim (Saturday, 4th March 2023, 14:30)

Our Expert: Tom Winch (@WinchySFP)

A high-flying Mainz side welcome Hoffenheim on Saturday afternoon where I’m looking to get the hosts onside in the goals department.

Mainz have been pretty impressive since the return, they’ve scored in all seven games with multiple goals arriving in four of those matches. No side in the Bundesliga has scored more than Bo Svensson’s side (16) across the previous five matches.

Hoffenheim have not enjoyed Bundesliga life in 2023, they’ve picked up just a single point from a possible 21, have yet to keep a clean sheet and have leaked 19 goals in that timeframe. Pellegrino Matarazzo’s side have yet to record a victory in 12 straight games in the top flight.

Mainz have scored 4,3 and 5 goals in their last three home league games. The winter break has appeared to have done wonders for the squad, they’ll now have their sights on a top 6 finish in the Bundesliga and they’ll be confident in overcoming an out of favour Hoffenheim side at the Mewa Arena.

👉 Best Bet: Mainz Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.80 (Bet 365)

Match Preview: Maidenhead v Wrexham (Saturday, 4th March 2023, 17:20)

Our Expert: Pete (@Pete_Tscherewik)

Wrexham have hit the headlines for all the right reasons this season and Phil Parkinson’s side currently sit top of the National League table.

Away from “Welcome to Wrexham” and the off-field camaraderie that comes with owners Ryan Reynolds and Rob McElhenney, the North Walian outfit have only lost two of 26 games so far and have a +56 goal-difference.

Of those 88-goals for, Paul Mullin has picked up from where he left off in 2021/22 in finding the back of the net 27 times and continues to be a goal-scoring powerhouse at this level.

Maidenhead do come into this fixture on the back of three consecutive victories, which is by no means to be snuffed at but The Dragons haven’t lost a league game since October and even that was against second placed Notts County.

Wrexham have scored 2+ goals in each of their last 15 league games and adding that in with a win looks a good angle here as they look to keep the pressure on Notts County having played a game less than them.

👉 Best Bet: Wrexham to win and o1.5 goals for Wrexham @ 1.8 / Bet365

Match Preview: Yeovil v Woking (Saturday, 4th March 2023, 15:00)

Our Expert: Josh - @ShootersTips

Yeovil average 2.00 match goals per game, scoring an average of 1 and conceding an average of 1. After 34 league games their top goalscorer has only scored 5 goals. Yeovil have a pragmatic style of football and will look to contain their opposition.

Woking are more proficient in front of goal however earlier this season the final score was only 1-0 between these two sides. Last January there was also another 1-0. Furthermore, their second top goalscorer who has bagged 9 goals this season is out with an injury until later this month.

Head to head:

This has historically been a low scoring affair with the last 5/6 games between these two having under 2.5 goals. I can see another low scoring encounter here.

I originally tipped Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.900 for my Premium Group members, however I still feel this is a good bet @ 1.700. We’re looking for another solid week for the Weekly Wager after Over 2.5 Goals in Barnet vs Gateshead @ 1.800 odds won for us.

👉 Best Bet: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.70 (Most Bookmakers)

Match Preview: Brighton vs West Ham (Saturday, 4th March 2023, 15:00)

Our Expert: Scott - @scottythorn21

Brighton take on West Ham this week as they look to return to winning ways in the league after losing to Fulham last weekend.

Brighton beat West Ham 2-0 earlier in the season and had 11 attempts. Kaori Mitoma is set to start on the wing for the Seagulls. He was in fine scoring form just after Christmas but has slowed in recent weeks. I’m backing him to return to his best and test the Hammers' defence on Saturday.

The Japan international is averaging two shots per game since Boxing Day and is averaging 1.7 shot per 90 minutes played this season.

West Ham beat Nottingham Forest 4-0 in front of their own fans last week but they have been poor away from home. David Moyes’ side have won just one of their 12 away games in the Premier League this season. They take on a Brighton side that will want to get back on track as they aspire to qualify for Europe. Mitoma should benefit from his team playing on the front foot.

Leandro Trossard played on the left in Brighton’s last game against West Ham (Mitoma’s likely to start on this flank). He had five shots and found the net.

This bet is priced at 2.14 with Unibet. 📉The same bet is 1.35 on Bet 365.

👉 Best Bet: Over 1.5 Shots For Mitoma @ 2.14 (Unibet)

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